Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new ...

Nate Silver pointed to some "hidden good news" for Democrats in this year's election results.

Pollster Nate Silver said he believes there is “hidden good news” for Democrats in the 2024 election results, despite the ...

Leading national polls predicted a narrow lead for Kamala Harris, but Donald Trump defied the odds, clinching key swing ...

And, while most pollsters had predicted a narrowing margin between Harris and Trump in the popular vote, almost all showed ...

Lichtman is known as the “Nostradamus” of election predictions after accurately predicting nine of the 10 presidential ...

For the third consecutive presidential election, US polling organisations struggled to accurately predict Donald Trump's electoral performance, with some surveys dramatically underestimating his ...

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every forecaster.

Republicans achieve significant victories in Florida, maintaining a supermajority in the Legislature and winning key Senate and House races.

“Unlike Nate Silver, who will try to squirm out of why he didn’t ... He certainly was not predicting a Trump Electoral College landslide,” Lichtman wrote on X. “And he said don’t trust my gut. So once ...

The founder of Aaru told Semafor that despite getting most predictions wrong, its model still “did well” and is faster and ...

Silly you for not realizing the expression “a coin toss” could mean 51/47 on the popular vote and 312 electoral college votes ... word “if” doing a lot of work there. The other Nate, Nate Silver, ...